Chris Ferro's Presentation Page


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2020

March 12, VALPRED workshop on forecast evaluation (Aussois, France) 'Measuring forecast calibration' [pdf]

2019

June 27, 14th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology (Toulouse, France) 'Evaluating forecasts when truth is uncertain'

April 25, 2nd Reading-Exeter Verification Meeting (ECMWF, Reading, UK) 'Measures of calibration for probabilistic and deterministic forecasts'

March 18, VALPRED workshop on assessment of ensemble forecasts (Aussois, France) 'Evaluating forecasts when truth is uncertain'

2017

September 14, European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts Annual Seminar (Reading, UK) 'Ensemble verification and extreme events'

June 30, Met Office seminar (Exeter, UK) 'Forecast verification for extreme events'

May 8-11, 7th International Verification Methods Workshop (Berlin, Germany) 'Forecast verification using scoring rules'

2016

September 1, Royal Statistical Society Highlands Local Group (St Andrews, UK) 'Evaluating weather and climate forecasts'

July 19, TIES 26th Annual Conference (Edinburgh, UK) 'Evaluating forecasts when truth is uncertain'

July 6, CliMathNet Conference (Exeter, UK) 'Evaluating forecasts when truth is uncertain'

March 2, European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (Reading, UK) 'Some recent ideas on scoring rules'

2015

December 9, Royal Statistical Society Ordinary Meeting discussion contribution (London, UK)

November 2, Workshop on Stochastic modelling, data assimilation and non-equilibrium phenomena (London, UK) 'Evaluating forecasts and models'

October 6, WCRP workshop on understanding, modelling and predicting weather and climate extremes (Oslo, Norway) 'Statistical evaluation of forecasts'

September 9, Royal Statistical Society Annual Conference (Exeter, UK) 'Evaluating the performance of ensemble forecasts'

September 3, Past Earth Network Conference (Crewe, UK) 'Evaluating the performance of climate forecasts'

2014

August 18, World Weather Open Science Conference (Montreal, Canada) 'What is a good ensemble forecast?'

April 3, Seminar, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University (New York, US) 'On judging the credibility of climate predictions'

March 18, 6th International Verification Methods Workshop (New Delhi, India) 'What is a good ensemble forecast?'

2013

September 11, EMS/ECAM (Reading, UK) 'Predicting the performance of climate predictions'

September 10, EMS/ECAM (Reading, UK) 'Fair scores for ensemble forecasts'

July 3, CliMathNet conference (Exeter, UK) 'On judging the credibility of climate predictions'

June 28, 12th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology (Jeju, Korea) 'On judging the credibility of climate predictions'

March 13, Uncertainty in Weather, Climate and Impacts (London, UK) 'Judging the credibility of climate projections'

2011

October 24, The Mathematics of Natural Catastrophes seminar (Warwick, UK) 'Probabilistic prediction of extreme weather events'

September 14, Institute for Mathematics and its Applications Conference on Mathematics of the Climate System (Reading, UK) 'Measuring the performance of climate predictions'

January 20, EQUIP 1st Annual Conference (Leeds, UK) 'How good are climate predictions?'

2010

September 28, 'Extremes, climate, statistics and dynamics' (Exeter, UK) 'Statistical Properties of Rare Events'

August 12, 73rd Annual Meeting of the Institute for Mathematical Statistics (Gothenburg, SE) 'Ensemble size and the performance of weather forecasts'

July 14, 11th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology (Edinburgh, UK) 'Verification for forecasts of rare events'

June 11, NCAR Advanced Study Program Summer Colloquium 2010 (Boulder, US) 'Ensemble size and forecast performance'

June 10, NCAR Advanced Study Program Summer Colloquium 2010 (Boulder, US) 'Verification for probabilistic forecasts II'

June 9, NCAR Advanced Study Program Summer Colloquium 2010 (Boulder, US) 'Verification for forecasts of rare events'

2007

September 14, Verification and Post-processing Workshop (Exeter, UK) 'Some thoughts on ensemble post-processing'

June 8, Meteorology Meets Social Science Conference (Exeter, UK) 'Quantifying the quality of forecasts and forecasting systems' [pdf]

April 17, UK Extremes Meeting (Sheffield, UK) 'Verifying forecasts of extreme events' [pdf]

February 1, 3rd International Workshop on Verification Methods (Reading, UK) 'Verification of extreme / high-impact weather' [pdf]

January 31, 3rd International Workshop on Verification Methods (Reading, UK) 'The effect of ensemble size on verification measures for binary-event forecasts' [pdf]

2006

September 25, Seminar at The University of Exeter (Exeter, UK) 'Verifying deterministic forecasts of extreme events' [pdf]

2005

August 17, 4th Conference on Extreme Value Analysis (Gothenburg, SE) 'Extremes in Climate Science' [pdf]

2004

December 16, CRU Seminar (Norwich, UK) 'Attributing variation in a regional climate-change modelling experiment' [ppt]

December 15, UK Extremes Meeting (Newcastle, UK) 'Rao-Blackwellised estimators for parameters of extreme-value models'

December 3, CGAM Seminar (Reading, UK) 'Attributing variation in a regional climate-change modelling experiment' [pdf]

September 9, PRUDENCE Project Meeting (Toledo, ES) 'Attributing variation in climate change model experiments' [ppt]

May 26, 9th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology (Cape Town, SA) 'A Survey of Statistical Methods for Extreme Values' [ppt]

January 21, Royal Meteorological Society Meeting (London, UK) 'Statistical Analyses of Extremes from a Regional Climate Model' [ppt]

2003

December 11, Birmingham Local RSS Group (Coventry, UK) 'Statistical Challenges in Climatology' [ppt]

September 29-3, Wengen Workshop on Regional Climate Change (Wengen, CH) 'Extremes in a Varied Climate' [ppt]

April 14-15, Young Statisticians' Meeting (Cambridge, UK) 'Statistical Challenges in Climatology' [ppt]


http://www.secam.ex.ac.uk/people/staff/ferro/presentations.shtml