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Brief history of statistics

The Oxford English etymological dictionary defines statistics as follows:

statistics - first applied to the political science concerned with the facts of a state or community XVIII; all derived immediately from German statistisch adj., statistik sb.; whence statistician XIX.

Statistics is concerned with exploring, summarising, and making inferences about the state of complex systems, for example, the state of a nation (official statistics), the state of peoples' health (medical and health statistics), the state of the environment (environmental statistics), etc.


Table 1.1 gives a brief summary of some of the earlier key developments in statistics and probability in Europe over the last five centuries. The initial development of statistics in the 16th and 17th centuries was motivated by the need to make sense of the large amount of data collected by population surveys in the emerging European nation states. Then, in the 18th century, the mathematical foundations were improved significantly by breakthroughs in the theory of probability inspired by games of chance (gambling). In the 19th century, statistics started to be used to make sense of the wealth of new scientific data. Finally, in the 20th century, modern statistics has emerged and has continued to progress rapidly throughout the whole century. The development of electronic computers in the 1950s and ever increasing amounts of available data have both played key roles in driving statistics forwards. For a more complete historical review of statistics refer to the books by David (1962), Johnson and Kotz (1998) and Kotz and Johnson (1993).


Table: Summary of some the earlier key events in the development of statistics in Europe. For more historical details, refer to Johnson and Kotz (1998).
Year Event Person
1532 First weekly data on deaths in London Sir W. Petty
1539
Start of data collection on baptisms, marriages, and deaths in France
1608 Beginning of parish registry in Sweden
1654 Correspondence on gambling with dice
P. de Fermat
B. Pascal
1662 First published demographic study based on bills of mortality J. Graunt
1693
Publ. of An estimate of the degrees of mortality of mankind drawn from curious tables of the births and funerals at the city of Breslaw with an attempt to ascertain the price of annuities upon lives
E. Halley
1713 Publ. of Ars Conjectandi J. Bernoulli
1714 Publ. of Libellus de Ratiocinus in Ludo Aleae C. Huygens
1714 Publ. of The Doctrine of Chances A. De Moivre
1763
Publ. of An essay towards solving a problem in the Doctrine of Chances
Rev. Bayes
1809 Publ. of Theoria Motus Corporum Coelestium C.F. Gauss
1812 Publ. of Théorie analytique des probabilités P.S. Laplace
1834 Establishment of the Statistical Society of London
1839 Establishment of the American Statistical Association (Boston)
1889 Publ. of Natural Inheritance F. Galton
1900 Development of the $ \chi^2$ test K. Pearson
1901 Publ. of the first issue of Biometrika F. Galton et al.
1903 Development of Principal Component Analysis K. Pearson
1908 Publ. of The probable error of a mean ``Student''
1910 Publ. of An introduction to the theory of statistics G.U. Yule
1933 Publ. of On the empirical determination of a distribution A.N. Kolmogorov
1935 Publ. of The Design of Experiments R.A. Fisher
1936 Publ. of Relations between two sets of variables H. Hotelling



next up previous contents
Next: What exactly is statistics Up: Introduction Previous: Purpose of this course   Contents
David Stephenson 2005-09-30