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None of the above definitions is entirely satisfactory or applicable
for all situations. The Russian scientist Kolmogorov, therefore,
proposed that probability should be defined axiomatically
by stating three necessary and sufficient axioms
(assumptions/properties):
- All probabilities are greater than or equal to zero:
for all events
(i.e. no event is more unlikely than a zero probability event).
- The probabilities of all events in event space always
sum up to one (i.e. something must happen !).
- The probability of either one or other mutually exclusive
events (i.e. events that cannot happen at the same time)
is equal to the sum of the probabilities of each event
alone. In other words, Pr(
or
)=Pr(
)+Pr(
)
for all mutually exclusive events
and
.
All the previous definitions satisfy these axioms and so
provide valid and complementary interpretations of probability.
David Stephenson
2005-09-30